2013 Oscar Predictions

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Best Picture

  • Will Win: Argo
  • Alternative: Lincoln
  • Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty (or Amour)
  • Should Be Nominated: Skyfall and Moonrise Kingdom

Pretty great batch of nominees overall. Zero Dark Thirty and Amour are my favorites, but Life of Pi and Beasts of the Southern Wild are not too far behind. Realistically speaking, though, only Lincoln has a chance of winning over Argo.

Best Director

  • Will Win: Michael Haneke
  • Alternative: Steven Spieldberg
  • Should Win: Michael Haneke
  • Should Be Nominated: Kathryn Bigelow

A big deal was made out of the Affleck snub, but not having Bigelow here was the real travesty of the year, in my opinion. With them gone, however, this is the category where the night’s biggest upset could happen. Maybe I’m letting my love for Amour blind me, but I’m expecting a big night for it, so I’m predicting a surprise win for Michael Haneke. It could absolutely happen given his extraordinary career and considering the presumed frontrunners (Spieldberg and Lee) have both won before.

Best Actress

  • Will Win: Emmanuelle Riva
  • Alternative: Jennifer Lawrence
  • Should Win: Emmanuelle Riva
  • Should Be Nominated: Michelle Williams, Take This Waltz

When we have such a strong field as we do this year, everybody wins! Each of the five nominees gave incredible performances and I wouldn’t be unhappy if any were to win. That being said, Riva’s performance as a woman facing death haunts me to this day. She would easily get my vote, and I think that anyone who saw the film will find it difficult to vote for anyone else. The questions, I guess, is if enough people saw it.

Best Actor

  • Will Win: Daniel Day Lewis
  • Alternative: Hugh Jackman
  • Should Win: Hugh Jackman
  • Should Be Nominated: Thur Lindhardt, Keep the Lights On

Winning three Oscars is no easy feat, and if Oscar voters aren’t ready to welcome Daniel Day Lewis into such an elite club, a Hugh Jackmann is not completely impossible. I find Jackman and Day Lewis to be equally brilliant in their films, but since Day Lewis has gotten everything else this year, I’m rooting for Jackman.

Best Supporting Actress

  • Will Win: Anne Hathaway
  • Alternative: Sally Field
  • Should Win: Anne Hathaway
  • Should Be Nominated: Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy

First of all, Nicole Kidman was absolutely robbed in this category.That’s all I have to say, since this is by far the easiest category to predict. A Sally Field win, brilliant as she is, would be one of the biggest upsets in Oscar history.

Best Supporting Actor

  • Will Win: Tommy Lee Jones
  • Alternative: Robert de Niro,
  • Should Win: Tommy Lee Jones
  • Should Be Nominated: Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Not that any of the men in this category are bad, but I find none of them to be so good as to warrant much enthusiasm from me.

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Will Win: Chris Terrio, Argo
  • Alternative: Tony Kushner, Lincoln
  • Should Win: Benh Zeitlin, Lucy Alibar, Beasts of the Southern Wild
  • Should Be Nominated: Stephen Chopsky, The Perks of Being a Wallflower

If Argo wins best picture, a win here also seems like a safe bet since its chances elsewhere seem limited.

Best Original Screenplay

  • Will Win: Michael Haneke, Amour
  • Alternative: Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty
  • Should Win: Michael Haneke, Amour
  • Should Be Nominated: Rian Johnson, Looper

Call it blind faith, but I’m also going with Amour here. It and Zero Dark Thirty are masterpieces, so as long as either of the two wins here I will be quite happy.

Editing

  • Will Win: Argo

Cinematography 

  • Will Win: Life of Pi

Poor Roger Deakins just can’t seem to catch a break. That being said and although his work in Skyfall was as brilliant as anything else he has done, Life of Pi deserves the win.

Production Design 

  • Will Win: Anna Karenina

Costume Design 

  • Will Win: Anna Karenina

Makeup & Hairstyling 

  • Will Win: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Visual Effects

  • Will Win: Life of Pi

Sound Mixing

  • Will Win: Les Miserables

Sound Editing 

  • Will Win: Skyfall

Original Score 

  • Will Win: Life of Pi

Original Song 

  • Will Win: “Skyfall” from Skyfall

Animated Feature 

  • Will Win: Wreck-It-Ralph

Documentary Feature 

  • Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man

Foreign Language Film 

  • Will Win: Amour

Animated Short 

  • Will Win: Paperman

Documentary, Short Subject

  • Will Win: Open Heart

Live-Action Short Film 

  • Will Win: Curfew
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